Climate and land use change will provide novel opportunities for viral sharing among previously geographically-isolated species of wildlife
At least 10,000 virus species have the capacity to infect humans and the vast majority are circulating silently in wild mammals – bats account for the majority of novel viral sharing.
A study published in Nature earlier this week is first comprehensive assessment of how climate change will restructure the global mammalian virome (the total collection of viruses).
It estimates that in 2070 human population centres in equatorial Africa, south China, India and southeast Asia will overlap with ‘projected hotspots of cross-species viral transmission in wildlife’.
The work focusses on the journeys that species will undertake as they follow their habitats into new areas. As they encounter other mammals for the first time, the study estimates that they will share thousands of viruses.
These shifts bring greater opportunities for viruses like Ebola or coronaviruses to emerge in new areas, making them harder to track, affecting new types of animals, making it easier for viruses to jump across a “stepping stone” species into humans.
The study’s lead author Dr Colin Carlson, assistant research professor at the Center for Global Health Science and Security at Georgetown University, says: “The closest analogy is actually the risks we see in the wildlife trade. We worry about markets because bringing unhealthy animals together in unnatural combinations creates opportunities for this stepwise process of emergence—like how SARS jumped from bats to civets, then civets to people. But markets aren’t special anymore; in a changing climate, that kind of process will be the reality in nature just about everywhere.”
The study finds that this ecological transition may already be underway – and holding warming under 2 °C within the century will not reduce future viral sharing.
In his APHA SCIENCE blog, APHA’s Professor Richard Delahay, a Wildlife Biologist at the National Wildlife Management Centre, talks about the work being carried out on the potential role of wildlife in the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2.
This electron microscope image made available by the U.S. National Institutes of Health shows a human T cell, indicates in blue, under attack by HIV, in yellow, the virus that causes AIDS
PHYS ORG reports that a letter published in Ecology refers to another study, “Assessing the risk of human-to-wildlife pathogen transmission for conservation and public health“, which found one hundred different cases where diseases had undergone “spillback” from humans back into wild animals, similar to the way that SARS-CoV-2 has been able to spread in mink farms, zoo lions and tigers, and wild white-tailed deer.
Professor Delahay describes the global coronavirus pandemic as a disease event of unprecedented scale pointing out that the World Health Organisation Dashboard indicates that over 117 million people have already been infected worldwide. And since the onset of the pandemic, there have been many instances of human-to-animal transmission, mostly involving pet dogs and cats, but with some cases in zoos and mink farms.
.
Recent Comments